​​

The seminar "Statistics and Porbability" will be held each Tuesday at 11  (after the Meeting of the Department) in room 1-057.

The second lecture of Dr. Anis Ben Ghorbal on ​

Modelling Student Enrollment by using Markov Chain

"Prospective study"

Dr. Anis BEN GHORBAL

assghorbal@imamu.edu.sa

will be given on Tuesday, November 17.

ABSTRACT: An enrollment projection model based on the Markov chain is developed for postgraduate students at the College of Science (Department of Mathematics and Statistics).  These include estimating students flow between different study levels, the average life time a student spends at each level, the semesters required for graduation, and students graduating probability. The model is helpful for the college's future planning in matters regarding postgraduate student enrolments. Because the topics covered in this study are diverse, we present the related work as:

• - Development of Model
• - Transition and Initial State Matrices
• - Application of the Markov Process
• - The Steady-State Matrix
• - Computational Experience
• ​